Sitemap - 2022 - Insider Ideas

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#MRL - Marlowe Plc - AIM listed compliance services and software provider, with a “buy-and-build” model. Stock down heavily post trading update. M&A will slow, but biz should be recession-resilient.

Elemental Altus Royalties (ELE on TSV, ELEMF on US OTC). Junior gold royalty Co on interesting valuation given asset portfolio and high quality aligned management

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#GYM - Gym Group Plc - a leading provider of low cost gyms in UK. Facing cost pressures and demand headwinds but perhaps the valuation is overdone?

#TRR Trident Royalties Plc - high growth small-cap royalty play, aiming for diversified metals exposure

#FNTL Fintel Plc - compliance reg-tech, intermediary services, and distribution for the UK retail financial sector. Small cap GARPy stock

#ONT Oxford Nanopore - stock sale by CTO after recent purchase

RCH Reach Plc - possible takeover from National World Plc

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#OCDO Ocado - Stock up heavily after new Ocado Solutions deal with S Korea's Lotte Shopping

#SRC - Sigmaroc Plc - Trading update presentation video

#BYG - Big Yellow Group - UK self storage leader trading at 4.2% div yield, which should grow with expansion and beat inflation. Biz should be robust to recession.

#SRC Sigmaroc - today's trading statement

#SRC - Sigmaroc - buy and build in quarry/aggregates sector. Local monopoly qualities should allow stable margin and inflation protected returns in LT.

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Fevertree - all recent transactions in tabular format

#ONT Oxford Nanopore's CTO bought £150k of shares at 234p last Wednesday, following on from the Chairman's £530k buy that we covered earlier in Sep.

#GROW - Molten Ventures - UK closed fund investing in European VC sector. Diversified VC exposure at discount to NAV. Port Co's include Revolut, Ledger, Crowdcube, CoachHub, Trustpilot, UiPath...

#SYNC Syncona - UK closed-end trust invests in biotech with focus on cell & gene therapies. Discount to NAV. Decent track record. One to watch for diversified biotech exposure?

INSIDER IDEAS - WATCHLIST UPDATE - 23 SEP 2022

#OCDO Ocado - Tech solutions for online grocery automation. Clear leader in field. Inflation linked revenue contracts. Impressive founder/CEO. Interesting valuation at 671p

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#ONT Oxford Nanopore Tech - 295p interesting point on chart, near support. Chair just bought decent chunk, following three buys since April from other NEDs.

UK INSIDER DEALINGS TODAY - A Selection

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Insider Ideas - Watchlist Update - ET, HIMS, WEW, WG.

Supreme Group PLC (#SUP on AIM) - MCap £120m @ 103p per share. Main driver is vaping business (new acquisitions announced today 9 August). Plus a mix of manufacturing and distribution within FMCG.

#SFOR - S4 Capital - further director buy from Scott Spirit at 131p £44.4k (120p when we posted on 21 July)

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Reach plc - RCH on LSE - £370m Mcap at 117p - national and regional news publisher, midway through transition to digital-focus biz model - down 70% from peak, bottomed? H1 results tomorrow!

S4 Capital - SFOR on LSE - MC £680m at 120p - Advertising roll-up play, headed by Sir Martin Sorrell who built WPP from a cash-shell to its current state - down c40% on today’s trading update

Fevertree Drinks- Another insider buy on Friday

Fevertree - FEVR on LSE - Mcap £1.1bn @ 900p - Premium soft drinks - stock down 25% on revised EBITDA guidance today due to cost inflation (claimed transitory). EV / Sales c2.6x versus 7.5x for peers.

Gulf Marine Services - (GMS on LSE) - MC £71m (EV 350m) @ 7p - self-propelled self-elevating support vessels (SESVs) - c3-4x return over c5 years if mkt rewards debt reduction with equity value

Swedish Match - ($SWMA.ST on Stockholm Exchange) - MCap SEK 107bn (USD 11bn) @ SEK 70 - P/E 16x 12/22 cons - alternative nicotine products (snus & nicotine pouches) - potentially a cheap compounder

Regarding case updates / intentions of the blog

QUICK IDEA - Crocs - ($CROX on Nasdaq) - MCap $4.2bn @ $73 - branded footwear - trading under 10x trailing EPS - fall accelerated by unpopular acquisition of Hey Dude / fears of covid sales reset.

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QUICK IDEA - Countryside Properties PLC (#CSP on LSE) - MCap £1.6bn @310p - home construction sector, shifting business model to focus solely on econ-resilient and high ROIC “Partnerships” business.